Afkār is a publication of the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, providing short-form analyses, insights, and perspectives on regional issues and developments from the Council's experts and outside contributors. Afkār is published in English and Arabic, and is edited by Omar H. Rahman.
In the U.S.–Israel Iran war, success has been measured less by the capacity to destroy than by the ability to control escalation through force, signaling, and diplomacy.
Gulf states have always kept diplomacy and mediation in their foreign policy toolkit when dealing with Iran. Although relations are at an all-time low after Iran’s wartime attacks on its Gulf neighbors, diplomacy remains essential to finding a modus operandi moving forward.
Five states are quietly building a security partnership that could redraw the Middle East’s strategic map. Whether it solidifies into a genuine alliance or remains a present-threat-driven initiative is still an open question.
Gulf states have long held varying approaches to their relations with Iran, based on a number of factors. The ongoing war has reinforced the notion that this is unlikely to change.
Bilateral peace talks between the U.S. and Iran in Pakistan were structurally flawed by excluding the Gulf states. If an agreement is to hold up in the long-run, it must incorporate the Gulf states and their interests.