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The Trump administration says it will redirect $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets to compensate Gulf states for war damage—but the legal authority to do it does not exist, and the assets it's counting on sit beyond Washington's reach.
Albert B. Wolf
As artificial intelligence increasingly reshapes how influence and political power are exercised, the question facing Gulf states is no longer whether to embrace AI, but how to preserve technological sovereignty within an emerging algorithmic order.
Nayef Al-Nabet
The U.S. military architecture in the Gulf has long provided mutual benefits for both sides. Yet the war in Iran is leading Gulf states to question their assumptions.
Kristian Alexander
The Iran war has pushed Europe and the Gulf into closer strategic alignment, driven by shared concerns over energy security, maritime stability, and overreliance on the United States. Yet the same structural dependencies and political divisions that make cooperation necessary may also limit how far it can go.
Camille Lons
There is no obvious winner of the Iran war—and with neither side able to impose its will on the other, the Middle East is entering an era of fragile equilibrium.
Khalid Al-Jaber
The conflict may be on hold, but the economic cost continues to accumulate. For the Gulf states, the uneven distribution of those costs makes collective action all the more difficult.