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The Iran war has pushed Europe and the Gulf into closer strategic alignment, driven by shared concerns over energy security, maritime stability, and overreliance on the United States. Yet the same structural dependencies and political divisions that make cooperation necessary may also limit how far it can go.
Camille Lons
There is no obvious winner of the Iran war—and with neither side able to impose its will on the other, the Middle East is entering an era of fragile equilibrium.
Khalid Al-Jaber
The conflict may be on hold, but the economic cost continues to accumulate. For the Gulf states, the uneven distribution of those costs makes collective action all the more difficult.
Frédéric Schneider
The Gulf states face several questions and dilemmas over their post-Iran war security environment. A reassessment of their defense-industrial policies is in order.
Şaban Kardaş
In the U.S.–Israel Iran war, success has been measured less by the capacity to destroy than by the ability to control escalation through force, signaling, and diplomacy.
Nafja Alkuwari
Qatar’s continued influence will depend heavily on its ability to adapt to the new challenges. This can only be achieved through a reassessment of its alliances, a focus on joint Gulf action, and a strengthening of its diplomatic tools to preserve the gains it has made.