Avoiding War with Iran Is the Gulf’s Only Winning Move

Afkar

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The Costs of the Iran Conflict for the Gulf

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Pakistan’s Iran Trap

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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March 12, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

Introduction The joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran that began on February 28, 2026, has triggered one of the Gulf’s most dangerous crises in decades. For energy-importing countries in Asia, the conflict is not a distant war; it is a direct threat to their security. East Asian powers import roughly 60% of their oil from the… Continue reading Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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March 10, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Collapse of Containment: The Lebanese Front in the Regional Conflagration

The Lebanon front has become a central battlefield in a wider regional war, raising risks of state collapse, regional escalation, and threats to Gulf security.

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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Events

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15 March 2026
upcoming event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT
Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance
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14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT
The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors
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17 March 2026
upcoming event 1:15 pm GMT - 2:15 pm GMT
Navigating Iran War in the Region: Qatar’s Position and Strategic Perspectives
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15 March 2026
2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT

Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance

learn more
14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT

The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors

learn more
17 March 2026
upcoming event 1:15 pm GMT - 2:15 pm GMT

Navigating Iran War in the Region: Qatar’s Position and Strategic Perspectives

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Afkar

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March 15, 2026
How Gulf Defense Capabilities Are Preventing Further Escalation with Iran 

The joint U.S.–Israeli strikes against Iran that began February 28—culminating in the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—sent shockwaves through the Middle East and immediately raised fears of a wider regional war. Within hours, those fears appeared justified. Tehran retaliated not only against the United States and Israel but broadened its battlefield to include the… Continue reading How Gulf Defense Capabilities Are Preventing Further Escalation with Iran 

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March 13, 2026
War with Israel Forces Lebanon to Confront Hezbollah’s Arms 

Israel’s war on Lebanon is rapidly escalating, with military operations penetrating deep into Lebanese territory: in the south, the Bekaa Valley, and key areas of Beirut—especially its southern suburb of Dahiya. The conflict is no longer confined to the border region between the two states. It has metastasized into an all-out war, imposing new military and security realities across the country. Diplomatic efforts have been ineffective in… Continue reading War with Israel Forces Lebanon to Confront Hezbollah’s Arms 

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March 12, 2026
How Does Türkiye View the U.S.–Israel War on Iran? 

The ongoing war waged by the United States and Israel against Iran aims to weaken the Iranian regime and destroy its military infrastructure, including both its existing and potential weapons capabilities. At the outset of the conflict, some observers expected that military pressure might trigger internal unrest in Iran and eventually lead to regime change.… Continue reading How Does Türkiye View the U.S.–Israel War on Iran? 

learn more
March 15, 2026
How Gulf Defense Capabilities Are Preventing Further Escalation with Iran 

The joint U.S.–Israeli strikes against Iran that began February 28—culminating in the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—sent shockwaves through the Middle East and immediately raised fears of a wider regional war. Within hours, those fears appeared justified. Tehran retaliated not only against the United States and Israel but broadened its battlefield to include the… Continue reading How Gulf Defense Capabilities Are Preventing Further Escalation with Iran 

learn more
March 13, 2026
War with Israel Forces Lebanon to Confront Hezbollah’s Arms 

Israel’s war on Lebanon is rapidly escalating, with military operations penetrating deep into Lebanese territory: in the south, the Bekaa Valley, and key areas of Beirut—especially its southern suburb of Dahiya. The conflict is no longer confined to the border region between the two states. It has metastasized into an all-out war, imposing new military and security realities across the country. Diplomatic efforts have been ineffective in… Continue reading War with Israel Forces Lebanon to Confront Hezbollah’s Arms 

learn more
March 12, 2026
How Does Türkiye View the U.S.–Israel War on Iran? 

The ongoing war waged by the United States and Israel against Iran aims to weaken the Iranian regime and destroy its military infrastructure, including both its existing and potential weapons capabilities. At the outset of the conflict, some observers expected that military pressure might trigger internal unrest in Iran and eventually lead to regime change.… Continue reading How Does Türkiye View the U.S.–Israel War on Iran? 

learn more