NATO and the GCC: what lies ahead?

Situation Assessment

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The Gulf Caught Between Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab

Afkar

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The End of Saudi Restraint in Iraq

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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October 7, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Israel Between Elections and Open Fronts

This situation assessment examines how domestic electioneering shapes Israel’s fragmented political landscape, its approach to Gaza, settlement expansion in the West Bank, and military operations and negotiations in Lebanon. It argues that the election outcome may alter the pace and rhetoric of Israeli policy without substantially changing its core objectives.

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September 30, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Gulf’s Conundrum: Connecting Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab

This situation assessment examines the strategic connection between Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab and its implications for Gulf energy trade and maritime security. It argues that a sustainable response requires re-establishing sovereignty over Yemen’s coast and building a Yemeni state capable of guarding its own shores.

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September 23, 2026
Issue Brief -
The Iraqi Development Road: A Promising Corridor amid Unresolved Fault Lines

Linking Iraq’s Grand Faw Port to Türkiye and Europe, the Development Road promises trade, jobs and regional integration. Its success depends on financing, Iraqi governance, relations with Iran and progress on three interconnected Kurdish issues.

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September 23, 2026
Issue Brief -
The Iraqi Development Road: A Promising Corridor amid Unresolved Fault Lines

Linking Iraq’s Grand Faw Port to Türkiye and Europe, the Development Road promises trade, jobs and regional integration. Its success depends on financing, Iraqi governance, relations with Iran and progress on three interconnected Kurdish issues.

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September 23, 2026
Issue Brief -
The Iraqi Development Road: A Promising Corridor amid Unresolved Fault Lines

Linking Iraq’s Grand Faw Port to Türkiye and Europe, the Development Road promises trade, jobs and regional integration. Its success depends on financing, Iraqi governance, relations with Iran and progress on three interconnected Kurdish issues.

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Events

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8 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT
Economies in Crisis: Rethinking Development Priorities in the Arab Region
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14 October 2026
upcoming event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
Can Sanctions Achieve What Military Force Could Not in Iran?
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17 September 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
BRICS and the Middle East: What Is at Stake?
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08 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT

Economies in Crisis: Rethinking Development Priorities in the Arab Region

learn more
14 October 2026
upcoming event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

Can Sanctions Achieve What Military Force Could Not in Iran?

learn more
17 September 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

BRICS and the Middle East: What Is at Stake?

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Afkar

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October 6, 2026
America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

For over a decade, the U.S. Mideast policy has been trapped in a vicious cycle. Every administration that enters the White House declares, in one way or another, that the region is no longer a priority, and that the future lies in Asia and the Indo-Pacific—the arena of great-power competition with China, as well as… Continue reading America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

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October 5, 2026
Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

With indirect talks between Washington and Tehran stalling and tensions rising around the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf states face tough choices with far-reaching implications that go beyond threats to energy supplies or increased transport and insurance costs, extending to cities, critical infrastructure and national economies. As Qatar and Oman intensify their mediation efforts, the Gulf… Continue reading Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

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October 4, 2026
Most Lebanese Reject Sectarian Rule. What’s Preventing Change?

Lebanon’s sectarian political system has survived civil war, economic collapse, and repeated waves of popular protest. Yet its endurance masks a striking contradiction: Most Lebanese appear to reject its organizing principles, but few are willing to take the risks required to challenge it. A nationally representative survey of 3,000 Lebanese citizens conducted by the authors… Continue reading Most Lebanese Reject Sectarian Rule. What’s Preventing Change?

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October 6, 2026
America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

For over a decade, the U.S. Mideast policy has been trapped in a vicious cycle. Every administration that enters the White House declares, in one way or another, that the region is no longer a priority, and that the future lies in Asia and the Indo-Pacific—the arena of great-power competition with China, as well as… Continue reading America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

learn more
October 5, 2026
Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

With indirect talks between Washington and Tehran stalling and tensions rising around the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf states face tough choices with far-reaching implications that go beyond threats to energy supplies or increased transport and insurance costs, extending to cities, critical infrastructure and national economies. As Qatar and Oman intensify their mediation efforts, the Gulf… Continue reading Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

learn more
October 4, 2026
Most Lebanese Reject Sectarian Rule. What’s Preventing Change?

Lebanon’s sectarian political system has survived civil war, economic collapse, and repeated waves of popular protest. Yet its endurance masks a striking contradiction: Most Lebanese appear to reject its organizing principles, but few are willing to take the risks required to challenge it. A nationally representative survey of 3,000 Lebanese citizens conducted by the authors… Continue reading Most Lebanese Reject Sectarian Rule. What’s Preventing Change?

learn more