Who Pumps the Oil… and Who Controls It?

Afkar

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Why the Gulf Must Build Its Own Economic Playbook

Afkar

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GCC Air Defense Between Challenge and Transformation

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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March 31, 2026
Situation Assessment -
A Region at Capacity: War, Displacement, and the Limits of Humanitarian Response in the Middle East

A month into the conflict, the number of displaced persons across Lebanon has reached 1 million people. Displacement orders are estimated to cover approximately 14 percent of Lebanon’s territory covering southern Lebanon, Beirut’s southern suburbs, and the Bekaa. The displaced population has placed enormous strain on Lebanon’s battered economy. On 28 March, Yemen’s Houthi rebels entered the conflict, attacking Israel with a barrage of ballistic missiles. The potential for the conflict to escalate and encompass war-torn Yemen raises serious, potentially catastrophic, humanitarian concerns.

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March 12, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

Introduction The joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran that began on February 28, 2026, has triggered one of the Gulf’s most dangerous crises in decades. For energy-importing countries in Asia, the conflict is not a distant war; it is a direct threat to their security. East Asian powers import roughly 60% of their oil from the… Continue reading Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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Events

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18 March 2026
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The Iran War and the Limits of International Law
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15 March 2026
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Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance
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14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT
The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors
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18 March 2026
past event GMT - GMT

The Iran War and the Limits of International Law

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15 March 2026
past event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT

Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance

learn more
14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT

The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors

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Afkar

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March 30, 2026
Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

The U.S.-Israel-Iran war has reopened the question of the security relationship between the Gulf and the United States with an intensity and controversy not seen before. The debate is no longer confined to the traditional notion of a protective umbrella that guarantees the security of oil supplies in exchange for a substantial American military presence. Instead, it has… Continue reading Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

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March 29, 2026
Why the Gulf Must Build Its Own Economic Playbook 

The Arab Gulf region stands at a pivotal moment. After more than five decades of economic planning largely shaped by imported models, external expertise, and prescribed solutions, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are moving into a new phase, one that calls for locally driven economic thinking, greater regional self-reliance, and the confidence to forge an independent path.… Continue reading Why the Gulf Must Build Its Own Economic Playbook 

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March 26, 2026
Who Pumps the Oil… and Who Controls It? 

Iran’s announcement that “non-hostile vessels” will be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz is the latest—and perhaps clearest—illustration of how oil has become a weapon of war. In a letter to the International Maritime Organization, Tehran framed the restriction of certain vessels as a lawful act of self-defense, explicitly linking access to the world’s most critical… Continue reading Who Pumps the Oil… and Who Controls It? 

learn more
March 30, 2026
Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

The U.S.-Israel-Iran war has reopened the question of the security relationship between the Gulf and the United States with an intensity and controversy not seen before. The debate is no longer confined to the traditional notion of a protective umbrella that guarantees the security of oil supplies in exchange for a substantial American military presence. Instead, it has… Continue reading Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

learn more
March 29, 2026
Why the Gulf Must Build Its Own Economic Playbook 

The Arab Gulf region stands at a pivotal moment. After more than five decades of economic planning largely shaped by imported models, external expertise, and prescribed solutions, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are moving into a new phase, one that calls for locally driven economic thinking, greater regional self-reliance, and the confidence to forge an independent path.… Continue reading Why the Gulf Must Build Its Own Economic Playbook 

learn more
March 26, 2026
Who Pumps the Oil… and Who Controls It? 

Iran’s announcement that “non-hostile vessels” will be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz is the latest—and perhaps clearest—illustration of how oil has become a weapon of war. In a letter to the International Maritime Organization, Tehran framed the restriction of certain vessels as a lawful act of self-defense, explicitly linking access to the world’s most critical… Continue reading Who Pumps the Oil… and Who Controls It? 

learn more