How Gulf Defense Capabilities Are Preventing Further Escalation with Iran

Afkar

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Water Must Not Become A Target in the Region’s Wars

Afkar

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Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

Situation Assessment

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Recent
Publications

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March 12, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

Introduction The joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran that began on February 28, 2026, has triggered one of the Gulf’s most dangerous crises in decades. For energy-importing countries in Asia, the conflict is not a distant war; it is a direct threat to their security. East Asian powers import roughly 60% of their oil from the… Continue reading Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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March 10, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Collapse of Containment: The Lebanese Front in the Regional Conflagration

The Lebanon front has become a central battlefield in a wider regional war, raising risks of state collapse, regional escalation, and threats to Gulf security.

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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Events

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15 March 2026
past event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT
Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance
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14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT
The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors
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17 March 2026
upcoming event 1:15 pm GMT - 2:15 pm GMT
Navigating Iran War in the Region: Qatar’s Position and Strategic Perspectives
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15 March 2026
past event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT

Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance

learn more
14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT

The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors

learn more
17 March 2026
1:15 pm GMT - 2:15 pm GMT

Navigating Iran War in the Region: Qatar’s Position and Strategic Perspectives

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Afkar

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March 17, 2026
The Gulf Stability Model is Under Pressure 

As the war between the United States, Israel and Iran enters its third week, its consequences are continuing to spread well beyond the battlefield. Missile strikes have hit critical infrastructure across the Gulf, while threats against commercial shipping have effectively shut down normal maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz for the first time since the latter part of the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s. The commodity pricing agency S&P Global Platts has already suspended… Continue reading The Gulf Stability Model is Under Pressure 

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March 16, 2026
Six, or One Bloc of Six? 

At first glance, readers might wonder about the meaning of this title and its implications. However, the answer will become clear in the lines that follow, which aim to provide an interpretation that clarifies the title’s significance. As the US–Israeli war against Iran passes its sixteenth day, and despite the uncertainty around its end, it… Continue reading Six, or One Bloc of Six? 

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March 16, 2026
Water Must Not Become A Target in the Region’s Wars 

In the arid lands of the Arab Gulf, water is often said to be more precious than oil. Over the past half-century, oil revenues have driven rapid population expansion and the construction of modern metropolises. However, freshwater resources are limited, requiring Gulf states to increasingly rely on desalination to survive and thrive. The primacy and scarcity of water have… Continue reading Water Must Not Become A Target in the Region’s Wars 

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March 17, 2026
The Gulf Stability Model is Under Pressure 

As the war between the United States, Israel and Iran enters its third week, its consequences are continuing to spread well beyond the battlefield. Missile strikes have hit critical infrastructure across the Gulf, while threats against commercial shipping have effectively shut down normal maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz for the first time since the latter part of the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s. The commodity pricing agency S&P Global Platts has already suspended… Continue reading The Gulf Stability Model is Under Pressure 

learn more
March 16, 2026
Six, or One Bloc of Six? 

At first glance, readers might wonder about the meaning of this title and its implications. However, the answer will become clear in the lines that follow, which aim to provide an interpretation that clarifies the title’s significance. As the US–Israeli war against Iran passes its sixteenth day, and despite the uncertainty around its end, it… Continue reading Six, or One Bloc of Six? 

learn more
March 16, 2026
Water Must Not Become A Target in the Region’s Wars 

In the arid lands of the Arab Gulf, water is often said to be more precious than oil. Over the past half-century, oil revenues have driven rapid population expansion and the construction of modern metropolises. However, freshwater resources are limited, requiring Gulf states to increasingly rely on desalination to survive and thrive. The primacy and scarcity of water have… Continue reading Water Must Not Become A Target in the Region’s Wars 

learn more