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Israel’s recognition of Somaliland marks a strategic shift aimed at expanding military reach into the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea, intensifying regional instability while sidelining diplomacy.

Omar H. Rahman

The STC’s failed bid to impose a new reality in eastern Yemen has triggered a sharp Saudi-led correction that weakens separatist ambitions and revives prospects for a more unified Yemeni state.

Ibrahim Jalal

With Lebanon’s government facing immense pressure on all sides, it is increasingly relying on negotiations to navigate its perilous and rapidly shifting environment.

Souhayb Jawhar

Israel’s 12-day war with Iran achieved dramatic tactical successes—including assassinations, sabotage and U.S. military involvement—but ultimately failed to trigger Iran’s internal collapse or strategic defeat, instead galvanizing Iranian national unity, advancing its nuclear ambiguity and raising the risk of deeper regional escalation in a future.

Sajjad Safaei

Israel's September attack on Qatar, the host of mediation talks over a ceasefire in Gaza and the exchange of captives, brought home the vulnerability of mediators as they carry on an increasingly vital task in international diplomacy.

Sultan Al-Khulaifi

Despite years of negotiations over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and its implications on Nile water distribution, the project has been completed without an agreement in place. What happens now? 

Ahmed Morsy, Tsedenya Girmay