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The Iran war has pushed Europe and the Gulf into closer strategic alignment, driven by shared concerns over energy security, maritime stability, and overreliance on the United States. Yet the same structural dependencies and political divisions that make cooperation necessary may also limit how far it can go. 

Camille Lons

There is no obvious winner of the Iran war—and with neither side able to impose its will on the other, the Middle East is entering an era of fragile equilibrium.

Khalid Al-Jaber

The conflict may be on hold, but the economic cost continues to accumulate. For the Gulf states, the uneven distribution of those costs makes collective action all the more difficult.   

Frédéric Schneider

The Gulf states face several questions and dilemmas over their post-Iran war security environment. A reassessment of their defense-industrial policies is in order.

Şaban Kardaş

In the U.S.–Israel Iran war, success has been measured less by the capacity to destroy than by the ability to control escalation through force, signaling, and diplomacy.

Nafja Alkuwari

The UAE’s departure is as much about oil markets as a strategic realignment—exposing deepening rivalry with Saudi Arabia and the limits of GCC cohesion under pressure.

Frédéric Schneider