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The Democratic landslide was a repudiation of Trump’s war with Iran and the broken promises of his presidency. But whether electoral humiliation pushes him toward ending the conflict or escalating it further remains an open—and dangerous—question.
Omar H. Rahman
The failure of military force to resolve a confrontation presents the danger that nuclear weapons might be employed under the guise of a “limited strike.” In the Gulf, such a scenario would have grave implications for regional security and the future of the international order.
Khalid Al-Jaber
For months, pending U.S. midterm elections have acted as both a restraint on military force and a point of leverage to be exploited. With the vote soon in the books, how will that calculus change and how can mediators secure important gains before it does?
Khalid Al-Jufairi
As diplomacy falters, the Strait of Hormuz is again testing regional security and the global economy. In this turbulent landscape, the Gulf states must balance de-escalation with protecting their vital interests.
Zafer Muhammad Alajmi
Iran has withstood half a year of war without the institutional breakdown some expected, even as the conflict has deepened economic hardship and expanded the role of the security state. Its resilience is real, but so are the mounting costs to Iranian society.
Negar Mortazavi
An advance by Yemen’s Houthis toward strategically vital areas near the Bab al-Mandab Strait marks a crucial shift, as the group increasingly leverages maritime geography within a broader regional calculus tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict.