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Israel’s expanding war in Lebanon is unfolding alongside a domestic crisis over who controls the country’s decisions of war and peace. As Hezbollah confronts Israel on the battlefield, the Lebanese state is challenging the legitimacy of the group’s military activities—opening an unprecedented struggle over the state’s monopoly on arms.

Souhayb Jawhar

While Ankara has no desire to defend Iran, Turkish policymakers fear that the collapse or fragmentation of the Iranian state could produce security, migration, and economic crises that would hit Türkiye hardest. 

İbrahim Karataş

When Pakistan signed a mutual defense pact with Saudi Arabia in September, it likely did not expect a U.S.-Israel war against Iran to test it so soon. Now Islamabad’s credibility could be on the line.  

Albert B. Wolf

Iran has entered renewed negotiations with Washington convinced that only the perception that it is ready to fight—not to make concessions—can produce a durable diplomatic outcome.

Hassan Ahmadian

Transparency International’s annual rankings show public perceptions on corruption in the Middle East and North Africa have not changed over the past five years. Yet a closer look reveals that anticorruption agencies and legal reform are quietly making headway in combating institutional corruption.

Robert P. Beschel Jr.

After negotiations stalled, Syria’s central government launched a military campaign to impose its terms for integration on the SDF by force. It seems to have worked.

Özge Genç