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The midterm elections did not strip Trump of his authority to wage war, but they have increased its political cost, ushering the Gulf into a new phase as U.S. electoral calculations intersect with the future of the regional conflict.
Khalid Al-Jaber
The Democratic landslide was a repudiation of Trump’s war with Iran and the broken promises of his presidency. But whether electoral humiliation pushes him toward ending the conflict or escalating it further remains an open—and dangerous—question.
Omar H. Rahman
The failure of military force to resolve a confrontation presents the danger that nuclear weapons might be employed under the guise of a “limited strike.” In the Gulf, such a scenario would have grave implications for regional security and the future of the international order.
Khalid Al-Jaber
As conflict puts multiple maritime routes under pressure at once, the value of infrastructure is no longer measured by efficiency alone. Pipelines, railways and roads are increasingly important for the redundancy they provide when established trade routes fail.
Ahmet Erdi Öztürk, Can Selçuki
Israel’s parties compete fiercely for power. But competition over who governs does not always produce competing visions of the country’s strategic direction.
Nayef Al-Nabet
The Arab middle class serves as a foundation of social stability and public confidence in institutions. Years of conflict, inflation and the emigration of skilled professionals have had impacts beyond the economic realm, affecting social cohesion and political stability.