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Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia have presented an early test for the joint defense pact signed over the summer. But turning a political declaration into an operational security arrangement may take years of careful development.
Ahmet Erdi Öztürk, Hasan Selim Özertem
The upcoming Palestinian legislative elections take on a different meaning in Lebanon’s refugee camps. They present a dual test: one for the legitimacy of Palestinian representation, and another for the future governance of the camps, which the Lebanese state is currently discussing.
Khaldoun El-Charif
Metastasizing conflicts, paralyzed international decision-making, and shifting balances of power: Deadlock at the UN reflects a deeper crisis within an international order whose rules are eroding faster than its institutions can adapt.
Khalid Al-Jaber
Recent developments around the Bab al-Mandab Strait reveal deep imbalances in the region’s security architecture and the dynamics of deterrence. The growing clout of armed actors in the Red Sea presents a test for regional states and their collective approach to safeguarding freedom of navigation.
Turki Algoblan
Iran has withstood half a year of war without the institutional breakdown some expected, even as the conflict has deepened economic hardship and expanded the role of the security state. Its resilience is real, but so are the mounting costs to Iranian society.
Negar Mortazavi
Saudi Arabia’s unprecedented strikes on Iraqi militias mark the collapse of a decade-long strategy of patient engagement. Riyadh’s new approach—punish the factions while strengthening the state—will depend on whether it can weaken Iran-aligned groups without further undermining Baghdad.