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Israel’s expanding war in Lebanon is unfolding alongside a domestic crisis over who controls the country’s decisions of war and peace. As Hezbollah confronts Israel on the battlefield, the Lebanese state is challenging the legitimacy of the group’s military activities—opening an unprecedented struggle over the state’s monopoly on arms.

Souhayb Jawhar

With Lebanon’s government facing immense pressure on all sides, it is increasingly relying on negotiations to navigate its perilous and rapidly shifting environment.

Souhayb Jawhar

Lebanon’s externally driven push to disarm Hezbollah reveals a deeper crisis of sovereignty, as the state lacks the legitimacy, institutional capacity, and public trust necessary to reclaim monopoly over force without risking deeper instability and communal backlash.

Joseph Daher, Sami Zoughaib, Sami Atallah

The neighboring countries share a tortured past based on superiority and subjugation. Yet recent political transformations in both countries have provided an opportunity to reset ties, should they have the courage and foresight to seize it.

Souhayb Jawhar

Lebanon is at a crossroads. While Hezbollah is facing enormous pressure to give up its weapons, there are no guarantees that the national and regional interests of all sides will be protected, especially given Israel’s continued occupation of southern Lebanon. 

Saoud El Mawla

By targeting senior Iranian military leadership in recent strikes, Israel appears to be following a playbook focused on overwhelming shock and disruption. 

Hamidreza Azizi