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Israel’s expanding war in Lebanon is unfolding alongside a domestic crisis over who controls the country’s decisions of war and peace. As Hezbollah confronts Israel on the battlefield, the Lebanese state is challenging the legitimacy of the group’s military activities—opening an unprecedented struggle over the state’s monopoly on arms.
Souhayb Jawhar
While Ankara has no desire to defend Iran, Turkish policymakers fear that the collapse or fragmentation of the Iranian state could produce security, migration, and economic crises that would hit Türkiye hardest.
İbrahim Karataş
The war on Iran is reshaping the Gulf's collective consciousness as societies prioritize stability and national security over ideological alignment.
Khalid Al-khanji
When Pakistan signed a mutual defense pact with Saudi Arabia in September, it likely did not expect a U.S.-Israel war against Iran to test it so soon. Now Islamabad’s credibility could be on the line.
Albert B. Wolf
The U.S.-Israel attack on Iran risks deepening global economic problems and pushing Gulf states toward crisis. QatarEnergy’s halt of LNG production underscores the scale of the risks this war entails.
Frédéric Schneider
Iran’s strikes on Gulf states risk drawing the region into a wider war that could reshape the Middle East’s strategic balance. For Gulf governments, the most consequential decision may not be how to retaliate, but whether to enter the conflict at all.