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The Democratic landslide was a repudiation of Trump’s war with Iran and the broken promises of his presidency. But whether electoral humiliation pushes him toward ending the conflict or escalating it further remains an open—and dangerous—question.
Omar H. Rahman
The failure of military force to resolve a confrontation presents the danger that nuclear weapons might be employed under the guise of a “limited strike.” In the Gulf, such a scenario would have grave implications for regional security and the future of the international order.
Khalid Al-Jaber
For months, pending U.S. midterm elections have acted as both a restraint on military force and a point of leverage to be exploited. With the vote soon in the books, how will that calculus change and how can mediators secure important gains before it does?
Khalid Al-Jufairi
As conflict puts multiple maritime routes under pressure at once, the value of infrastructure is no longer measured by efficiency alone. Pipelines, railways and roads are increasingly important for the redundancy they provide when established trade routes fail.
Ahmet Erdi Öztürk, Can Selçuki
Modern warfare has shifted the relationship between the amount spent on defenses and their effectiveness, as costs between offensive and defensive capabilities diverge. For Riyadh, this necessitates a review of how military resources are deployed to counter evolving threats.
Suleiman Al-Akaili
The debate over the future of the regional order brings back to the fore the issue of American guarantees and the need for Arab cooperation that could transform shared interests into institutional and defensive capabilities.