Afkār is a publication of the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, providing short-form analyses, insights, and perspectives on regional issues and developments from the Council's experts and outside contributors. Afkār is published in English and Arabic, and is edited by Omar H. Rahman.
The conflict may be on hold, but the economic cost continues to accumulate. For the Gulf states, the uneven distribution of those costs makes collective action all the more difficult.
The Gulf states face several questions and dilemmas over their post-Iran war security environment. A reassessment of their defense-industrial policies is in order.
In the U.S.–Israel Iran war, success has been measured less by the capacity to destroy than by the ability to control escalation through force, signaling, and diplomacy.
Lebanon faces mounting pressure to resume talks with Israel despite internal divisions, ongoing attacks, and disputes over Hezbollah’s role and national consensus.
Unable to maintain control over its borders and airspace, Baghdad’s lack of sovereign control and centralized authority is a liability for the Gulf states. Fortunately, the time is ripe for a change.
Qatar’s continued influence will depend heavily on its ability to adapt to the new challenges. This can only be achieved through a reassessment of its alliances, a focus on joint Gulf action, and a strengthening of its diplomatic tools to preserve the gains it has made.