Afkār is a publication of the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, providing short-form analyses, insights, and perspectives on regional issues and developments from the Council's experts and outside contributors. Afkār is published in English and Arabic, and is edited by Omar H. Rahman.
Iran has withstood half a year of war without the institutional breakdown some expected, even as the conflict has deepened economic hardship and expanded the role of the security state. Its resilience is real, but so are the mounting costs to Iranian society.
An advance by Yemen’s Houthis toward strategically vital areas near the Bab al-Mandab Strait marks a crucial shift, as the group increasingly leverages maritime geography within a broader regional calculus tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict.
Saudi Arabia’s unprecedented strikes on Iraqi militias mark the collapse of a decade-long strategy of patient engagement. Riyadh’s new approach—punish the factions while strengthening the state—will depend on whether it can weaken Iran-aligned groups without further undermining Baghdad.