October 22, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Trump Faces a Tough Midterm Test

The 2026 U.S. midterm elections will test Trump’s grip on Congress as falling approval ratings, economic pressures and costly foreign commitments threaten Republican control and the future of his agenda.

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October 15, 2026
Policy Paper -
What Future for the US Dollar in the Gulf?

The GCC’s dollar peg is conventionally explained by three pillars: dollar-invoiced oil, Treasury-recycled surpluses, and imported Federal Reserve credibility.

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October 7, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Israel Between Elections and Open Fronts

This situation assessment examines how domestic electioneering shapes Israel’s fragmented political landscape, its approach to Gaza, settlement expansion in the West Bank, and military operations and negotiations in Lebanon. It argues that the election outcome may alter the pace and rhetoric of Israeli policy without substantially changing its core objectives.

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October 15, 2026
Policy Paper -
What Future for the US Dollar in the Gulf?

The GCC’s dollar peg is conventionally explained by three pillars: dollar-invoiced oil, Treasury-recycled surpluses, and imported Federal Reserve credibility.

learn more
8 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT
Economies in Crisis: Rethinking Development Priorities in the Arab Region
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14 October 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
Can Sanctions Achieve What Military Force Could Not in Iran?
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17 September 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
BRICS and the Middle East: What Is at Stake?
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08 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT

Economies in Crisis: Rethinking Development Priorities in the Arab Region

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14 October 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

Can Sanctions Achieve What Military Force Could Not in Iran?

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17 September 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

BRICS and the Middle East: What Is at Stake?

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October 27, 2026
Can Pakistan Navigate the Mecca Agreement’s First Critical Test?

The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement—recently renamed the Mecca Defense Alliance—has quickly moved from a political declaration to an operational test. On October 5, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Türkiye agreed to implement their collective-defense commitments and prepare the rapid deployment of agreed forces and capabilities to the Saudi Kingdom. The decision came amid escalating attacks from… Continue reading Can Pakistan Navigate the Mecca Agreement’s First Critical Test?

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October 25, 2026
Israeli Elections are Wide Open, But Strategic Choices are Narrower than Ever

With Israel’s October 27 election approaching, voters face a consequential choice over who should govern the country, but a less obvious one over the direction in which it should go. The main opposition parties are campaigning against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s leadership and record, promising greater competence, institutional repair, and improved relations with international partners.… Continue reading Israeli Elections are Wide Open, But Strategic Choices are Narrower than Ever

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October 22, 2026
Two Decades of Crisis Erode the Arab Middle Class

For decades, the middle class has served as the backbone of stability in Arab societies. It is the class that produces the teachers, doctors, engineers, civil servants and small-scale entrepreneurs whose income allows local markets and businesses to flourish. However, since the turn of the millennium, it has faced successive crises, from the domestic upheavals… Continue reading Two Decades of Crisis Erode the Arab Middle Class

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October 27, 2026
Can Pakistan Navigate the Mecca Agreement’s First Critical Test?

The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement—recently renamed the Mecca Defense Alliance—has quickly moved from a political declaration to an operational test. On October 5, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Türkiye agreed to implement their collective-defense commitments and prepare the rapid deployment of agreed forces and capabilities to the Saudi Kingdom. The decision came amid escalating attacks from… Continue reading Can Pakistan Navigate the Mecca Agreement’s First Critical Test?

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October 25, 2026
Israeli Elections are Wide Open, But Strategic Choices are Narrower than Ever

With Israel’s October 27 election approaching, voters face a consequential choice over who should govern the country, but a less obvious one over the direction in which it should go. The main opposition parties are campaigning against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s leadership and record, promising greater competence, institutional repair, and improved relations with international partners.… Continue reading Israeli Elections are Wide Open, But Strategic Choices are Narrower than Ever

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October 22, 2026
Two Decades of Crisis Erode the Arab Middle Class

For decades, the middle class has served as the backbone of stability in Arab societies. It is the class that produces the teachers, doctors, engineers, civil servants and small-scale entrepreneurs whose income allows local markets and businesses to flourish. However, since the turn of the millennium, it has faced successive crises, from the domestic upheavals… Continue reading Two Decades of Crisis Erode the Arab Middle Class

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