The events of October 7, 2023, marked a turning point for the Levant, exposing long-standing structural weaknesses in governance, legitimacy, and state institutions. This policy brief examines how the decline of Hezbollah, Syria’s post-Assad transition, and shifting regional dynamics have created both challenges and opportunities for rebuilding resilient states. It argues that durable stability depends on inclusive governance, institutional reform, the conditional integration of non-state actors, and coordinated international support to strengthen sovereignty, promote political participation, and foster sustainable peace across the region.
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China–GCC relations have historically been characterized by a deep economic interdependence, primarily dominated by the Gulf’s energy supplies to China.
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On 17 June 2026, the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran digitally signed the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), which consists of a 14-point framework aimed at ending the war that erupted on 28 February 2026. This framework outlines a comprehensive peace agreement to be negotiated within 60 days of the MoU, with the possibility of extending this period by mutual consent of the parties involved.
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Although the memorandum of understanding (MoU) between the United States and Iran has been faltering since the moment it was signed, there is no longer a question for the Gulf states over whether an agreement can be reached, but rather the nature of such an agreement. That includes not just its nuclear program but its… Continue reading A U.S.-Iran Deal That Does Not Address Gulf Concerns Will Not Bring Stability
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The historic U.S.-Saudi nuclear cooperation accord signed on July 22 was reached amid efforts to bolster bilateral energy cooperation and diversify the Kingdom’s energy sources, and it includes a commitment to the highest standards of nuclear safety. But it also clearly shifts the delicate balance between the demands of nuclear non-proliferation and calculations of political… Continue reading The Gulf on the Threshold of a New Nuclear Map
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Despite a resumption in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, and the resulting re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran and its major Gulf oil-producing rivals are in a race to boost their respective oil exports and restore or carve out their share of critical markets. This can be seen in Iran’s bid to export… Continue reading Why the Gulf’s Oil Export Future Lies in Southeast Asia
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