Yemen, Libya, and Sudan are all in the grip of armed conflicts that have led to the collapse of state institutions and the fragmentation of central authorities among multiple, externally supported actors. Over the past decade, international efforts have proven insufficient, on their own, to resolve these protracted conflicts and achieve comprehensive peace in these countries. This has brought to the fore local mediation mechanisms, which show potential as key ways to manage and resolve domestic conflicts at the grassroots level. In environments characterized by protracted conflict, the proliferation of armed forces, and the fragmentation of the ruling system, local mediation can complement or provide an effective alternative to international and national efforts, which often find it hard to address the root causes of conflict in a way acceptable to all sides.
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Iran is facing intensifying pressures on the international stage. In June of 2025, Israel and the United States launched a military assault on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, even as talks on the program were underway between Tehran and Washington.
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Key Takeaways MENA Remains Pro-Democracy: Despite low confidence in political institutions, and the collapse of the Arab Spring’s democratic moment, the majority of MENA citizens still prefer a democratic government. Even in countries with widespread disillusionment, autocracy is not seen as a better alternative. Democracy Dignity: Citizens conceive of democracy as dignity, prioritizing social and economic… Continue reading Democracy as Dignity: What Public Opinion Reveals in MENA
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Israel’s recognition of Somaliland as an independent state, ushered in by Foreign Minister Gideon Saar’s visit on January 6, is a geopolitical watershed that sheds further light on Israel’s evolving regional strategy after October 7. Much of the early commentary has been distorted by claims that the move is part of a transactional scheme to relocate Palestinians en… Continue reading Israel’s Somaliland gambit reflects a doctrine of endless escalation
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In little over a month, Yemen has undergone significant changes on the ground and in the political dynamics underpinning more than ten years of war. In early December, the Southern Transitional Council (STC) initiated a military operation in the governorates of Hadramawt and al-Mahra that brought nearly the entirety of southern and eastern Yemen under… Continue reading Momentous change sweeps Yemen as STC overreaches in Hadramawt
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On January 6, Iran’s newly established Defense Council issued a short but controversial statement. While reaffirming Iran’s long-standing claim that it does not seek war, the council declared that Tehran no longer considers itself limited to responding after an attack and would treat “objective signs of threat” as part of its security calculus. The phrasing is deliberately cautious,… Continue reading Is Iran Changing Its Defense Doctrine?
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