Nearly two months after the launch of the U.S.-Israel-Iran war on February 28, 2026, global energy markets have moved past the “geopolitical risk premium,” a temporary price increase that reflects the uncertainty of armed conflict. Instead, they have now entered a far more perilous phase that the International Energy Agency (IEA) calls the “largest supply… Continue reading Iran War: Grappling With an Unprecedented Energy Crisis
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The October 7 Hamas-led attack on Israel, and the Gaza Genocide that commenced that same day and continues more than two years later, mark a critical historical juncture for the Palestinian people. While the scale of destruction, loss of life, and displacement in Gaza has few contemporary parallels, the significance of this moment extends beyond the immediate catastrophe. For Palestinians, October 2023 did not simply usher in another episode in their protracted struggle for liberation; it exposed the cumulative consequences of decades of political fragmentation, institutional decay, and strategic paralysis within the Palestinian national movement itself.
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This policy note examines how Gulf states can transition from traditional security dependence to a diversified, proactive strategy shaping the post-war regional and global order.
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For Iraq, the Iran war is not simply another regional crisis spilling across its borders. It is foregrounding fundamental questions about the country’s post-2003 political order itself: the extent of Iranian influence, the future of relations with the Arab Gulf and the United States, and the role of Iran-aligned factions within the state-sanctioned Popular Mobilization… Continue reading The Iran War’s Shadow Over Iraq’s Preexisting Dynamics
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To date, Yemen’s Ansar Allah, also known as the Houthis, have played a limited role in the U.S., Israel and Iran war. This cautious engagement raises important questions about their motives and the factors that could push this influential non-state actor to escalate further. Despite possessing highly effective tools, the Houthis have opted for restraint… Continue reading Houthi Involvement in the Iran War: Reasons for Limited Escalation
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The war that has unfolded across the Gulf has done more than shatter the region’s security architecture. It has also underscored a long-standing reality: the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has never operated as a unified actor in its approach toward Iran, and it is unlikely to do so after the conflict ends. The GCC is… Continue reading The GCC Will Not Unify on Iran
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