March 31, 2026
Situation Assessment -
A Region at Capacity: War, Displacement, and the Limits of Humanitarian Response in the Middle East

A month into the conflict, the number of displaced persons across Lebanon has reached 1 million people. Displacement orders are estimated to cover approximately 14 percent of Lebanon’s territory covering southern Lebanon, Beirut’s southern suburbs, and the Bekaa. The displaced population has placed enormous strain on Lebanon’s battered economy. On 28 March, Yemen’s Houthi rebels entered the conflict, attacking Israel with a barrage of ballistic missiles. The potential for the conflict to escalate and encompass war-torn Yemen raises serious, potentially catastrophic, humanitarian concerns.

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March 12, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

Introduction The joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran that began on February 28, 2026, has triggered one of the Gulf’s most dangerous crises in decades. For energy-importing countries in Asia, the conflict is not a distant war; it is a direct threat to their security. East Asian powers import roughly 60% of their oil from the… Continue reading Asia and the Iran Conflict: Energy Vulnerability and the Imperative for Action

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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March 12, 2026
Policy Note -
The Limits of Neutrality for Gulf States in the U.S.–Israel–Iran War

A policy analysis exploring how the U.S.–Israel–Iran war is redefining Gulf neutrality, deterrence strategies, and regional security architecture.

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18 March 2026
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The Iran War and the Limits of International Law
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15 March 2026
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Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance
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14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT
The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors
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18 March 2026
past event GMT - GMT

The Iran War and the Limits of International Law

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15 March 2026
past event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT

Türkiye and the War on Iran: Navigating a Delicate Balance

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14 March 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT

The Implications of the Iran War for Regional Non-State Actors

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April 2, 2026
Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

When the United States and Israel launched their war on Iran in late February, Tehran responded, in large part, by attacking military installations and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf states. The Islamic Republic’s strategy was to immediately raise and disperse the cost of the war by destabilizing the global economy and pressuring the Gulf states… Continue reading Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

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April 1, 2026
How the War is Redefining Gulf Economic Power and Energy Strategy

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states are confronting the greatest threat to their economic security and energy strategy since their formation. The economic fallout of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran is severe, but uneven across the Gulf. So too is each state’s ability to sustain energy exports and protect critical infrastructure—both of which have been targeted unequally by Iran.   The war has produced the largest disruption to global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies in modern history. Before… Continue reading How the War is Redefining Gulf Economic Power and Energy Strategy

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March 30, 2026
Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

The U.S.-Israel-Iran war has reopened the question of the security relationship between the Gulf and the United States with an intensity and controversy not seen before. The debate is no longer confined to the traditional notion of a protective umbrella that guarantees the security of oil supplies in exchange for a substantial American military presence. Instead, it has… Continue reading Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

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April 2, 2026
Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

When the United States and Israel launched their war on Iran in late February, Tehran responded, in large part, by attacking military installations and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf states. The Islamic Republic’s strategy was to immediately raise and disperse the cost of the war by destabilizing the global economy and pressuring the Gulf states… Continue reading Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

learn more
April 1, 2026
How the War is Redefining Gulf Economic Power and Energy Strategy

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states are confronting the greatest threat to their economic security and energy strategy since their formation. The economic fallout of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran is severe, but uneven across the Gulf. So too is each state’s ability to sustain energy exports and protect critical infrastructure—both of which have been targeted unequally by Iran.   The war has produced the largest disruption to global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies in modern history. Before… Continue reading How the War is Redefining Gulf Economic Power and Energy Strategy

learn more
March 30, 2026
Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

The U.S.-Israel-Iran war has reopened the question of the security relationship between the Gulf and the United States with an intensity and controversy not seen before. The debate is no longer confined to the traditional notion of a protective umbrella that guarantees the security of oil supplies in exchange for a substantial American military presence. Instead, it has… Continue reading Reframing the Gulf Regional Security Architecture 

learn more