Iran and Nuclear Opacity: Strategic Ambiguity, Retaliation, and Leverage

Policy Note

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The UNSC’s Arms Embargo on Darfur Needs Robust Monitoring

Afkār

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With Ethiopia’s GERD Active, Tensions Mount Along the Nile

Afkār

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Recent
Publications

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September 24, 2025
Policy Note -
Iran and Nuclear Opacity: Strategic Ambiguity, Retaliation, and Leverage

On July 2, 2025, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian formally enacted a law suspending Iran’s cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The move, approved unanimously by Iran’s parliament and endorsed by the Guardian Council, effectively halted inspections and reporting on Iran’s nuclear program by the agency “until the security of the nuclear facilities is guaranteed.” The legislation marks the most significant shift in Iran’s nuclear posture since the country’s accession to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1970.

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September 18, 2025
Policy Paper -
Gulf SMEs and the Post-Oil Economy: Lessons from the Mittelstand Model

As the Arab Gulf states transition away from reliance on hydrocarbons and seek to diversify their economies, governments are fostering industries that complement the oil sector, like mid- and downstream industries, logistics and increasingly, sectors less related to hydrocarbons, like tourism and finance. This pivot is underpinned by a digital transformation.

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September 4, 2025
Policy Note -
Reinvigorating Japan-GCC State Ties: The Case for Enhancing Top-Level Diplomacy

This policy note was completed by the author in August 2025 and therefore preceded the resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba as President of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in September.  Introduction Since the turn of the millennium, the politico-economic nexus between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states and East Asia has significantly grown. Japan’s… Continue reading Reinvigorating Japan-GCC State Ties: The Case for Enhancing Top-Level Diplomacy

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September 24, 2025
Policy Note -
Iran and Nuclear Opacity: Strategic Ambiguity, Retaliation, and Leverage

On July 2, 2025, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian formally enacted a law suspending Iran’s cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The move, approved unanimously by Iran’s parliament and endorsed by the Guardian Council, effectively halted inspections and reporting on Iran’s nuclear program by the agency “until the security of the nuclear facilities is guaranteed.” The legislation marks the most significant shift in Iran’s nuclear posture since the country’s accession to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1970.

learn more
September 18, 2025
Policy Paper -
Gulf SMEs and the Post-Oil Economy: Lessons from the Mittelstand Model

As the Arab Gulf states transition away from reliance on hydrocarbons and seek to diversify their economies, governments are fostering industries that complement the oil sector, like mid- and downstream industries, logistics and increasingly, sectors less related to hydrocarbons, like tourism and finance. This pivot is underpinned by a digital transformation.

learn more
September 4, 2025
Policy Note -
Reinvigorating Japan-GCC State Ties: The Case for Enhancing Top-Level Diplomacy

This policy note was completed by the author in August 2025 and therefore preceded the resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba as President of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in September.  Introduction Since the turn of the millennium, the politico-economic nexus between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states and East Asia has significantly grown. Japan’s… Continue reading Reinvigorating Japan-GCC State Ties: The Case for Enhancing Top-Level Diplomacy

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Events

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21 September 2025
past event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT
The World Bank’s New Approach to Energy and Development in Yemen
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15 September 2025
past event 9:00 am GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
2nd Annual MENA Think Tank Forum
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10 September 2025
past event 9:00 am GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
4th Women, Peace and Security Working Group Meeting
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21 September 2025
past event 2:00 pm GMT - 3:00 pm GMT

The World Bank’s New Approach to Energy and Development in Yemen

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15 September 2025
past event 9:00 am GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

2nd Annual MENA Think Tank Forum

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10 September 2025
past event 9:00 am GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

4th Women, Peace and Security Working Group Meeting

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Afkar

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September 28, 2025
The UNSC’s Arms Embargo on Darfur Needs Robust Monitoring

On September 12, the UN Security Council unanimously renewed its arms embargo on Sudan’s western region of Darfur. The decision extends for a year the territorial embargo against the supply of weapons, ammunition, military equipment and related material. It also renews targeted sanctions against individuals, namely travel bans and asset freezes, with the aim of… Continue reading The UNSC’s Arms Embargo on Darfur Needs Robust Monitoring

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September 25, 2025
With Ethiopia’s GERD Active, Tensions Mount Along the Nile 

After years of mounting tensions between Nile River Basin countries over Ethiopia’s plans to build the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) far upstream, the project was finally inaugurated on September 9 without a new agreement in place for the distribution of the Nile’s vital water resources. For Egypt and Sudan, who are downstream from the… Continue reading With Ethiopia’s GERD Active, Tensions Mount Along the Nile 

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September 22, 2025
Israel's Targeting of Houthi Ministers Opens A New Phase of Conflict

Late last month, the residents of Sana’a witnessed something new. Although the smoke billowing over the Yemeni capital’s skyline was familiar for those who have experienced their fair share of war, the villa from which it emanated had been hosting a gathering of Houthi government ministers. An Israeli air raid had attacked the location, killing… Continue reading Israel’s Targeting of Houthi Ministers Opens A New Phase of Conflict

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September 28, 2025
The UNSC’s Arms Embargo on Darfur Needs Robust Monitoring

On September 12, the UN Security Council unanimously renewed its arms embargo on Sudan’s western region of Darfur. The decision extends for a year the territorial embargo against the supply of weapons, ammunition, military equipment and related material. It also renews targeted sanctions against individuals, namely travel bans and asset freezes, with the aim of… Continue reading The UNSC’s Arms Embargo on Darfur Needs Robust Monitoring

learn more
September 25, 2025
With Ethiopia’s GERD Active, Tensions Mount Along the Nile 

After years of mounting tensions between Nile River Basin countries over Ethiopia’s plans to build the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) far upstream, the project was finally inaugurated on September 9 without a new agreement in place for the distribution of the Nile’s vital water resources. For Egypt and Sudan, who are downstream from the… Continue reading With Ethiopia’s GERD Active, Tensions Mount Along the Nile 

learn more
September 22, 2025
Israel's Targeting of Houthi Ministers Opens A New Phase of Conflict

Late last month, the residents of Sana’a witnessed something new. Although the smoke billowing over the Yemeni capital’s skyline was familiar for those who have experienced their fair share of war, the villa from which it emanated had been hosting a gathering of Houthi government ministers. An Israeli air raid had attacked the location, killing… Continue reading Israel’s Targeting of Houthi Ministers Opens A New Phase of Conflict

learn more