Beyond Competition:
Japan, South Korea and the Imperative for Cooperation in the Middle East

Policy Paper

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How Syria’s New Government Risks Undermining Itself

Afkār

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With Lebanon and Syria in Political Flux, Can They Forge A New Relationship?

Afkār

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Recent
Publications

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August 4, 2025
Policy Paper -
Beyond Competition: Japan, South Korea and the Imperative for Cooperation in the Middle East

As geopolitical competition intensifies and energy security remains paramount, Japan and South Korea are recalibrating their roles in the Middle East. Despite a long-standing economic and strategic rivalry, both countries—key East Asian middle powers—now face a shared imperative: to cooperate on issues ranging from maritime security and defense diplomacy to renewable energy and Gaza reconstruction. This policy paper explores how Tokyo and Seoul can balance competition with pragmatic collaboration to advance mutual interests and contribute to regional stability.

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July 31, 2025
Policy Note -
After the Shock: The Israel-Iran War’s Economic Impact on the Gulf

The 12-day war between Israel and Iran in June 2025 sent shockwaves through the Gulf, not for its immediate economic damage, but for what it revealed: the fragility of the Gulf’s security assumptions, the limits of U.S. protection, and the looming threat to vital trade routes. While oil prices and markets quickly rebounded, the psychological and strategic consequences have left Gulf states grappling with new uncertainties. This analysis explores the conflict’s economic aftermath and what it means for the future of GCC resilience, defense, and diplomacy.

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July 27, 2025
Policy Note -
Yemen’s Quagmire: Why Isn’t U.S. Might Winning?

The Red Sea has been at the center of a radical shift in the global maritime security landscape since October 2023, when Yemen’s Houthis (also known as Ansar Allah) launched a campaign of repeated attacks on commercial and military vessels in one of the world’s most important waterways. These attacks, which the Houthis announced were… Continue reading Yemen’s Quagmire: Why Isn’t U.S. Might Winning?

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August 4, 2025
Policy Paper -
Beyond Competition: Japan, South Korea and the Imperative for Cooperation in the Middle East

As geopolitical competition intensifies and energy security remains paramount, Japan and South Korea are recalibrating their roles in the Middle East. Despite a long-standing economic and strategic rivalry, both countries—key East Asian middle powers—now face a shared imperative: to cooperate on issues ranging from maritime security and defense diplomacy to renewable energy and Gaza reconstruction. This policy paper explores how Tokyo and Seoul can balance competition with pragmatic collaboration to advance mutual interests and contribute to regional stability.

learn more
August 4, 2025
Policy Paper -
Beyond Competition: Japan, South Korea and the Imperative for Cooperation in the Middle East

As geopolitical competition intensifies and energy security remains paramount, Japan and South Korea are recalibrating their roles in the Middle East. Despite a long-standing economic and strategic rivalry, both countries—key East Asian middle powers—now face a shared imperative: to cooperate on issues ranging from maritime security and defense diplomacy to renewable energy and Gaza reconstruction. This policy paper explores how Tokyo and Seoul can balance competition with pragmatic collaboration to advance mutual interests and contribute to regional stability.

learn more
August 4, 2025
Policy Paper -
Beyond Competition: Japan, South Korea and the Imperative for Cooperation in the Middle East

As geopolitical competition intensifies and energy security remains paramount, Japan and South Korea are recalibrating their roles in the Middle East. Despite a long-standing economic and strategic rivalry, both countries—key East Asian middle powers—now face a shared imperative: to cooperate on issues ranging from maritime security and defense diplomacy to renewable energy and Gaza reconstruction. This policy paper explores how Tokyo and Seoul can balance competition with pragmatic collaboration to advance mutual interests and contribute to regional stability.

learn more
July 31, 2025
Policy Note -
After the Shock: The Israel-Iran War’s Economic Impact on the Gulf

The 12-day war between Israel and Iran in June 2025 sent shockwaves through the Gulf, not for its immediate economic damage, but for what it revealed: the fragility of the Gulf’s security assumptions, the limits of U.S. protection, and the looming threat to vital trade routes. While oil prices and markets quickly rebounded, the psychological and strategic consequences have left Gulf states grappling with new uncertainties. This analysis explores the conflict’s economic aftermath and what it means for the future of GCC resilience, defense, and diplomacy.

learn more
July 27, 2025
Policy Note -
Yemen’s Quagmire: Why Isn’t U.S. Might Winning?

The Red Sea has been at the center of a radical shift in the global maritime security landscape since October 2023, when Yemen’s Houthis (also known as Ansar Allah) launched a campaign of repeated attacks on commercial and military vessels in one of the world’s most important waterways. These attacks, which the Houthis announced were… Continue reading Yemen’s Quagmire: Why Isn’t U.S. Might Winning?

learn more

Events

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2 September 2025
upcoming event 6:00 pm GMT - 7:30 pm GMT
Rethinking Gulf Security Following the Iran-Israel War
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16 July 2025
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:15 pm GMT
Operation Rising Lion and the Gulf’s Balancing Act
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18 June 2025
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:15 pm GMT
Israel-Iran Escalating Confrontation: What is at Stake in the region?
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02 September 2025
upcoming event 6:00 pm GMT - 7:30 pm GMT

Rethinking Gulf Security Following the Iran-Israel War

learn more
16 July 2025
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:15 pm GMT

Operation Rising Lion and the Gulf’s Balancing Act

learn more
18 June 2025
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:15 pm GMT

Israel-Iran Escalating Confrontation: What is at Stake in the region?

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Afkar

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August 10, 2025
Small Tax, Big Bargain: Oman Tests Its Rentier Contract

In June 2025, Oman took a step that no Gulf monarchy had attempted before: announcing plans for direct taxation starting in 2028. At 5 percent on earnings above 42,000 OMR (~$109,000)—roughly the top 1 percent of earners—the financial returns will be modest. The signal, however, is not. By introducing a narrowly targeted personal income tax… Continue reading Small Tax, Big Bargain: Oman Tests Its Rentier Contract

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August 6, 2025
With Lebanon and Syria in Political Flux, Can They Forge A New Relationship?

Post-Assad Syria is searching for its place in Lebanon. Since assuming the presidency in January, President Ahmed al-Sharaa has been keen to emphasize that the Syria of today differs from the one under the Assad regime, which managed affairs in Lebanon for decades through security agencies and local allies. The new administration is seeking to… Continue reading With Lebanon and Syria in Political Flux, Can They Forge A New Relationship?

learn more
August 4, 2025
Growing Ties Between Eastern Libya and Türkiye Increase Tensions in the Mediterranean

For nearly six years, Libya’s eastern-based House of Representatives (HoR) has rejected  attempts by the internationally-recognized authorities in Tripoli to ratify a maritime border agreement with Türkiye on the grounds that they were illegal and violated Libyan national sovereignty. In June, however, amid steadily warming relations between the HoR-appointed Government of National Stability (GNS) and… Continue reading Growing Ties Between Eastern Libya and Türkiye Increase Tensions in the Mediterranean

learn more
August 10, 2025
Small Tax, Big Bargain: Oman Tests Its Rentier Contract

In June 2025, Oman took a step that no Gulf monarchy had attempted before: announcing plans for direct taxation starting in 2028. At 5 percent on earnings above 42,000 OMR (~$109,000)—roughly the top 1 percent of earners—the financial returns will be modest. The signal, however, is not. By introducing a narrowly targeted personal income tax… Continue reading Small Tax, Big Bargain: Oman Tests Its Rentier Contract

learn more
August 6, 2025
With Lebanon and Syria in Political Flux, Can They Forge A New Relationship?

Post-Assad Syria is searching for its place in Lebanon. Since assuming the presidency in January, President Ahmed al-Sharaa has been keen to emphasize that the Syria of today differs from the one under the Assad regime, which managed affairs in Lebanon for decades through security agencies and local allies. The new administration is seeking to… Continue reading With Lebanon and Syria in Political Flux, Can They Forge A New Relationship?

learn more
August 4, 2025
Growing Ties Between Eastern Libya and Türkiye Increase Tensions in the Mediterranean

For nearly six years, Libya’s eastern-based House of Representatives (HoR) has rejected  attempts by the internationally-recognized authorities in Tripoli to ratify a maritime border agreement with Türkiye on the grounds that they were illegal and violated Libyan national sovereignty. In June, however, amid steadily warming relations between the HoR-appointed Government of National Stability (GNS) and… Continue reading Growing Ties Between Eastern Libya and Türkiye Increase Tensions in the Mediterranean

learn more