Iran’s economic future will depend on its ability to balance relations with China and the Gulf while rebuilding commercial trust, maintaining access to regional trade networks, and addressing long-standing domestic structural challenges.
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The conflict between Iran and Israel has transformed Yemen into a central player in regional security. This analysis explores the Houthis’ strategic calculations, the growing importance of the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait, and the political, economic, and humanitarian challenges shaping Yemen’s future.
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The events of October 7, 2023, marked a turning point for the Levant, exposing long-standing structural weaknesses in governance, legitimacy, and state institutions. This policy brief examines how the decline of Hezbollah, Syria’s post-Assad transition, and shifting regional dynamics have created both challenges and opportunities for rebuilding resilient states. It argues that durable stability depends on inclusive governance, institutional reform, the conditional integration of non-state actors, and coordinated international support to strengthen sovereignty, promote political participation, and foster sustainable peace across the region.
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The ongoing military escalation between Washington and Tehran could be a prelude to an open-ended confrontation with even more dangerous regional consequences. Such a prospect should compel regional states to raise their level of preparedness to protect their political, economic, and security interests. Yet Baghdad—the capital most exposed to the repercussions of these developments—remains governed… Continue reading As Iran War Spreads, Baghdad’s Slow Response Risks Unwanted Entanglement
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The extent of regional and international media coverage of the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement between Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan reflects profound shifts in regional power balances. The new partnership raises questions well beyond the text of the agreement, and prompts an examination of the security trajectories that will shape the future of the Middle… Continue reading The Mecca Agreement: From Imported Security to Regional Joint Security
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The Middle East has reached a point where it can no longer sustain a security framework governed by a “single ally.” Nor can it afford to place its security at the mercy of major powers, whose priorities shift with changes in leadership, shifts in interests, or the outbreak of war. The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement… Continue reading The Mecca Agreement: From Diversifying Alliances to Regional Strategic Balance
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