This issue brief examines the domestic impacts of the war with Iran across six dimensions to assess whether the U.S. can sustain a large-scale foreign conflict when the fiscal capacity and public trust required to support it are under severe strain, namely: (I) partisan political polarization, (II) media dynamics and narrative construction, (III) shifts in public opinion, (IV) economic pressures, (V) the escalating cost of defense and national security, and finally (VI) the psychological–strategic dimension and its implications for the future of America’s role in the world.
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Executive Summary This report presents key takeaways from the roundtable entitled “Water Diplomacy and Governance in the MENA Region,” held on September 28-29, 2025 at the headquarters of the Middle East Council on Global Affairs (ME Council) in Doha, Qatar. The roundtable was co-organized with the Geneva Water Hub and the Blue Peace Middle East… Continue reading Water Diplomacy and Governance in the MENA Region
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Since the U.S.–Israeli attack on Iran on 28 February 2026, Türkiye has had to manage a war within its security environment. Ankara’s response has rested on one central reading: the current turmoil was not an inevitable regional eruption, but the product of a U.S.–Israel strategic choice, with Israel widely cast in Turkish official and public discourse as the principal driver of escalation. Yet Türkiye’s room… Continue reading Iran War: Ankara Seeks to Reap Benefits of a Calibrated Response
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The Islamic Republic of Iran’s resilience in the face of the unprecedented severity of the U.S.-Israeli assault that began on February 28 should surprise no one who has read Iranian history with any seriousness. Since the early sixteenth century, Iran has fought more than twenty major wars—against the Ottomans, Uzbeks, Afghans, the Russian and British… Continue reading Iran’s Rulers Have Survived Every War for Five Centuries. Will This One Be Different?
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For Iraq, the Iran war is not simply another regional crisis spilling across its borders. It is foregrounding fundamental questions about the country’s post-2003 political order itself: the extent of Iranian influence, the future of relations with the Arab Gulf and the United States, and the role of Iran-aligned factions within the state-sanctioned Popular Mobilization… Continue reading The Iran War’s Shadow Over Iraq’s Preexisting Dynamics
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To date, Yemen’s Ansar Allah, also known as the Houthis, have played a limited role in the U.S., Israel and Iran war. This cautious engagement raises important questions about their motives and the factors that could push this influential non-state actor to escalate further. Despite possessing highly effective tools, the Houthis have opted for restraint… Continue reading Houthi Involvement in the Iran War: Reasons for Limited Escalation
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