The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is facing a crisis of strategic identity and functional redefinition, with implications for its military and operational capabilities, the cohesion of its members, and its role. The Alliance, founded in 1949 with the signing of the Washington Treaty by 12 states, drew its original legitimacy from a deterrence logic directed at the Soviet Union. Today, however, NATO finds itself under mounting strain as growing divergences within the transatlantic alliance, compounded by longstanding U.S. demands for greater European burden sharing, overlapping crises across multiple regions that have exposed differences in American and European strategic priorities, and Washington’s gradual pivot toward the Indo-Pacific, increasingly reshape the Alliance’s internal dynamics and long-term trajectory.
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The U.S.-Israel-Iran war is more than a regional crisis. It has exposed the limits of global governance, accelerated the decline of post-Cold War assumptions, and pushed states to rethink security, globalization, and strategic adaptation in an emerging multipolar order.
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Key Takeaways From Pan-Arab Solidarity to Project-Based Regionalism: Gulf–Maghreb relations no longer reflect formal integration drives, but a focus on distinct projects and sectoral cooperation. This offers flexibility, but limits institutional depth. Divergences are Structural, Not Tactical: Disparities among Maghreb states in their Gulf engagement are not temporary or personality-driven. Rather, they reflect structural… Continue reading The Gulf-Maghreb Strategic Realignment
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The U.S.–Israel Iran war reflects a broader transformation in contemporary conflict, where success is defined less by decisive military victory than by the ability to control escalation. In this evolving strategic environment, the “eye for an eye” principle continues to shape deterrence and reciprocity, but in more calibrated forms. Retaliatory actions are increasingly symbolic and… Continue reading The Iran War and the Rise of Controlled Escalation
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Lebanon is expected to soon enter a third round of preliminary, ambassador-level talks with Israel under the auspices of Washington, aimed at paving the way for direct, high-level negotiations. Yet internally, Lebanon is a mess. The country’s president, prime minister, and speaker of parliament—all hailing from different religious sects according to Lebanon’s confessional system—cannot agree… Continue reading Can Lebanon Negotiate an End to War Without a National Consensus?
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The Gulf states are right to view Iraq as a security risk. Thirty-six years after Saddam Hussein’s forces crossed into Kuwait, and twenty-three years after the regime fell, Baghdad remains the one Arab capital whose commitments the Gulf Cooperation Council states (GCC) cannot rely upon. That is not a polemical claim it is a claim… Continue reading Iraq’s Sovereignty Gap Is a Lingering Problem for the Gulf States
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