How the War is Redefining Gulf Economic Power and Energy Strategy

Afkar

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Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent

Afkar

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A Region at Capacity: War, Displacement, and the Limits of Humanitarian Response in the Middle East

Situation Assessment

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Recent
Publications

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April 7, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Bushehr Reactor: Nuclear Facilities on the Line of Fire  

This situation assessment explores how the integration of nuclear infrastructure within a volatile military calculus is signaling a dangerous evolution in strategic thinking.

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April 5, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Battle for the Straits: Reconfiguring the Strategic Geography of Conflict 

this assessment offers an in-depth analytical reading of how maritime geography – and chokepoints in particular – has been reconfigured within Iran’s regional strategy, and how this reconfiguration is reshaping the strategic geography of conflict in the Middle East. 

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March 31, 2026
Situation Assessment -
A Region at Capacity: War, Displacement, and the Limits of Humanitarian Response in the Middle East

A month into the conflict, the number of displaced persons across Lebanon has reached 1 million people. Displacement orders are estimated to cover approximately 14 percent of Lebanon’s territory covering southern Lebanon, Beirut’s southern suburbs, and the Bekaa. The displaced population has placed enormous strain on Lebanon’s battered economy. On 28 March, Yemen’s Houthi rebels entered the conflict, attacking Israel with a barrage of ballistic missiles. The potential for the conflict to escalate and encompass war-torn Yemen raises serious, potentially catastrophic, humanitarian concerns.

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Events

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18 March 2026
past event 12:00 pm GMT - 1:00 pm GMT
Battle of Narratives: Media and Public Opinion in War
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6 April 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT
Media Coverage of the Iran War in the Era of Artificial Intelligence
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18 March 2026
past event GMT - GMT
The Iran War and the Limits of International Law
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18 March 2026
past event 12:00 pm GMT - 1:00 pm GMT

Battle of Narratives: Media and Public Opinion in War

learn more
06 April 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT

Media Coverage of the Iran War in the Era of Artificial Intelligence

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18 March 2026
past event GMT - GMT

The Iran War and the Limits of International Law

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Afkar

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April 6, 2026
Türkiye’s Strategic Balancing Act in the Iran War

When the United States and Israel launched their war against Iran on February 28, Türkiye did not hesitate to stake out its position. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan condemned the strikes as a violation of Iranian sovereignty and closed Turkish airspace to American combat operations. Yet in the same breath, Ankara denounced Iran’s retaliatory missile and drone barrages on Gulf Cooperation Council states as “incredibly wrong”… Continue reading Türkiye’s Strategic Balancing Act in the Iran War

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April 5, 2026
Gulf Security Beyond Guarantees

Since late February, when the United States and Israel launched joint strikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury and Operation Rising Lion, respectively, the Gulf states have been drawn into a war not of their making and not in their interests. For years, the Gulf states carefully diversified their security strategies, deepening ties with the U.S., expanding diplomatic… Continue reading Gulf Security Beyond Guarantees

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April 2, 2026
Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

When the United States and Israel launched their war on Iran in late February, Tehran responded, in large part, by attacking military installations and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf states. The Islamic Republic’s strategy was to immediately raise and disperse the cost of the war by destabilizing the global economy and pressuring the Gulf states… Continue reading Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

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April 6, 2026
Türkiye’s Strategic Balancing Act in the Iran War

When the United States and Israel launched their war against Iran on February 28, Türkiye did not hesitate to stake out its position. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan condemned the strikes as a violation of Iranian sovereignty and closed Turkish airspace to American combat operations. Yet in the same breath, Ankara denounced Iran’s retaliatory missile and drone barrages on Gulf Cooperation Council states as “incredibly wrong”… Continue reading Türkiye’s Strategic Balancing Act in the Iran War

learn more
April 5, 2026
Gulf Security Beyond Guarantees

Since late February, when the United States and Israel launched joint strikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury and Operation Rising Lion, respectively, the Gulf states have been drawn into a war not of their making and not in their interests. For years, the Gulf states carefully diversified their security strategies, deepening ties with the U.S., expanding diplomatic… Continue reading Gulf Security Beyond Guarantees

learn more
April 2, 2026
Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

When the United States and Israel launched their war on Iran in late February, Tehran responded, in large part, by attacking military installations and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf states. The Islamic Republic’s strategy was to immediately raise and disperse the cost of the war by destabilizing the global economy and pressuring the Gulf states… Continue reading Gulf States in the Crossfire of a War They Tried To Prevent 

learn more