Engaging Al-Shabaab in Somalia:
Military Failures and the Merits of Dialogue

Policy Note

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Ethiopia and Somalia on the Edge of War

Afkar

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Efforts To Restore Bahrain-Iran Ties Gather Momentum

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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November 6, 2024
Issue Brief -
Iran’s Shifting Discourse on Nuclear Weaponization: Bargaining Tactic or Doctrine Change?

Key Takeaways Heightening Threat Perception is the Main Driver of a Discourse Shift: Iran’s rhetoric shift toward nuclear armament is largely driven by external pressures, including Israel’s ongoing war on Gaza, and the wider region, along with its nuclear capabilities, and the limits of Iran’s conventional deterrence capabilities. The Worst-Case Scenario: Iran may be preparing… Continue reading Iran’s Shifting Discourse on Nuclear Weaponization: Bargaining Tactic or Doctrine Change?

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October 31, 2024
Issue Brief -
Iraq’s Development Road Project: A Path to Prosperity or Instability?

Iraq’s Development Road Project constitutes a bold and much-needed initiative for a country that has been plagued by decades of civil war, ethnic and religious conflict, and geopolitical tensions. The $17 billion Development Road Project (hereafter referred to as Development Road or the Project) aims to transform Iraq into a transport hub by connecting its southern hinterlands to the Turkish border in the north,1 and act as a major driver of economic prosperity in both Iraq and the wider region.

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October 31, 2024
Policy Note -
Engaging Al-Shabaab in Somalia: Military Failures and the Merits of Dialogue

The Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and its international partners have been fighting against Al-Shabaab for the last 17 years. Despite Mogadishu sharply escalating its efforts since 2022, it has failed to defeat the group. Al-Shabaab, for its part, seeks a total military victory against Somali authorities, but this too has failed.

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October 31, 2024
Issue Brief -
Iraq’s Development Road Project: A Path to Prosperity or Instability?

Iraq’s Development Road Project constitutes a bold and much-needed initiative for a country that has been plagued by decades of civil war, ethnic and religious conflict, and geopolitical tensions. The $17 billion Development Road Project (hereafter referred to as Development Road or the Project) aims to transform Iraq into a transport hub by connecting its southern hinterlands to the Turkish border in the north,1 and act as a major driver of economic prosperity in both Iraq and the wider region.

learn more
October 31, 2024
Policy Note -
Engaging Al-Shabaab in Somalia: Military Failures and the Merits of Dialogue

The Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and its international partners have been fighting against Al-Shabaab for the last 17 years. Despite Mogadishu sharply escalating its efforts since 2022, it has failed to defeat the group. Al-Shabaab, for its part, seeks a total military victory against Somali authorities, but this too has failed.

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Events

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12 November 2024
upcoming event 4:00 pm AST - 5:15 pm AST
MENA Youth Voices on Climate Change
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21 May 2024
past event AST - AST
Middle East Dialogue 2024
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25 April 2024
past event GMT - GMT
The Belt and Road Initiative Ten Years On: China and the Middle East in a Changing Geopolitical Landscape
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12 November 2024
upcoming event 4:00 pm AST - 5:15 pm AST

MENA Youth Voices on Climate Change

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21 May 2024
past event AST - AST

Middle East Dialogue 2024

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25 April 2024
past event GMT - GMT

The Belt and Road Initiative Ten Years On: China and the Middle East in a Changing Geopolitical Landscape

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Afkar

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November 4, 2024
Ethiopia and Somalia on the Edge of War

For months, momentum had been building toward war between Ethiopia and Somalia. After the breakaway region of Somaliland signed an agreement with Addis Ababa in January to exchange littoral rights for potential diplomatic recognition, tensions soared across the Horn of Africa. While recent weeks have seen the regional boil reduce to a simmer, other hot-button… Continue reading Ethiopia and Somalia on the Edge of War

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November 3, 2024
Efforts To Restore Bahrain-Iran Ties Gather Momentum

On October 21, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Manama and met with King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, marking a significant turning point in Iran-Bahrain relations that have been severed since 2016. This visit—the first by an Iranian foreign minister to Bahrain since 2010—took place amid an escalating military confrontation between Iran and Israel. While Bahrain… Continue reading Efforts To Restore Bahrain-Iran Ties Gather Momentum

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October 30, 2024
Adapting the Women, Peace and Security Agenda to the Arab World

When United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolution 1325 on Women, Peace and Security (WPS) was adopted on October 31, 2000, it marked an unprecedented commitment by the international community to regard women as integral partners in peace processes. The WPS “agenda,” as it came to be known, encompasses ten UNSC resolutions that recognize the devastating… Continue reading Adapting the Women, Peace and Security Agenda to the Arab World

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November 4, 2024
Ethiopia and Somalia on the Edge of War

For months, momentum had been building toward war between Ethiopia and Somalia. After the breakaway region of Somaliland signed an agreement with Addis Ababa in January to exchange littoral rights for potential diplomatic recognition, tensions soared across the Horn of Africa. While recent weeks have seen the regional boil reduce to a simmer, other hot-button… Continue reading Ethiopia and Somalia on the Edge of War

learn more
November 3, 2024
Efforts To Restore Bahrain-Iran Ties Gather Momentum

On October 21, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Manama and met with King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, marking a significant turning point in Iran-Bahrain relations that have been severed since 2016. This visit—the first by an Iranian foreign minister to Bahrain since 2010—took place amid an escalating military confrontation between Iran and Israel. While Bahrain… Continue reading Efforts To Restore Bahrain-Iran Ties Gather Momentum

learn more
October 30, 2024
Adapting the Women, Peace and Security Agenda to the Arab World

When United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolution 1325 on Women, Peace and Security (WPS) was adopted on October 31, 2000, it marked an unprecedented commitment by the international community to regard women as integral partners in peace processes. The WPS “agenda,” as it came to be known, encompasses ten UNSC resolutions that recognize the devastating… Continue reading Adapting the Women, Peace and Security Agenda to the Arab World

learn more