What Is the Mecca Joint Defense Pact—and What It Is Not?

Afkar

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Hormuz and the New Silk Road: Iran’s Economic Options in the Gulf and China

Situation Assessment

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The Mecca Agreement: From Imported Security to Regional Joint Security

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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September 10, 2026
Policy Brief -
Iraq’s High-Stakes Calculus on Corruption and Militia Disarmament

Iraq’s militia disarmament deadline and anti-corruption campaign promise reform, but they may primarily serve the government’s political survival. This paper assesses Baghdad’s attempt to balance Washington and Tehran—and what could follow after September 30.

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September 2, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement: The Makings of a New Security Architecture

The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement marks a historic shift in regional security. It responds to declining U.S. credibility while stopping short of separating regional defense from American power.

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August 19, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Future of Middle East Security: Layered Security vs. External Umbrella

As confidence in external security guarantees erodes, Middle Eastern states are reassessing the foundations of regional security. This paper argues that rather than pursuing a NATO-style alliance, the region should develop a layered security architecture built on Gulf integration, diversified partnerships, stronger deterrence, and greater strategic autonomy.

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September 10, 2026
Policy Brief -
Iraq’s High-Stakes Calculus on Corruption and Militia Disarmament

Iraq’s militia disarmament deadline and anti-corruption campaign promise reform, but they may primarily serve the government’s political survival. This paper assesses Baghdad’s attempt to balance Washington and Tehran—and what could follow after September 30.

learn more

Events

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3 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 4:00 pm GMT
The Gulf Between Two Names: Identity, Geography, and Power
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31 August 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
The New Syria: Regional Reintegration and Reconstruction
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27 August 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT
The War of the Straits: From Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb to Suez
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03 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 4:00 pm GMT

The Gulf Between Two Names: Identity, Geography, and Power

learn more
31 August 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

The New Syria: Regional Reintegration and Reconstruction

learn more
27 August 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT

The War of the Straits: From Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb to Suez

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Afkar

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September 10, 2026
The End of Saudi Restraint in Iraq

On the night of July 28, Saudi Arabian and American warplanes struck positions of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF)—an umbrella organization of mostly Shia paramilitary groups—across seven provinces, from Nineveh to Basra. At least 20 fighters were killed, among them at least five Iranians, and 32 were wounded. Riyadh said the strikes were an answer to… Continue reading The End of Saudi Restraint in Iraq

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September 9, 2026
Will AIPAC’s Declining Electoral Influence Shift U.S. Foreign Policy?

In the United States, electoral primaries—where political parties decide who will run in general elections for political office—are rarely referendums on the country’s foreign policy. Yet the 2026 Democratic Party primary cycle was different, as a growing number of congressional districts became battlegrounds for issues including the U.S.-Israel relationship, the genocide in Gaza, and foreign… Continue reading Will AIPAC’s Declining Electoral Influence Shift U.S. Foreign Policy?

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September 8, 2026
Hili Forum 2026: Shaping the Post-War Gulf

The significance of the third Hili Forum—convening in Abu Dhabi on September 7-8 under the theme “Gulf at Crossroads: Conflict, Consequences and Course Correction”—stems from the exceptional timing of the event. The region remains mired in one of its most strategically ambiguous moments in decades, amid rapid transformations. The U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran remains unresolved—politically… Continue reading Hili Forum 2026: Shaping the Post-War Gulf

learn more
September 10, 2026
The End of Saudi Restraint in Iraq

On the night of July 28, Saudi Arabian and American warplanes struck positions of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF)—an umbrella organization of mostly Shia paramilitary groups—across seven provinces, from Nineveh to Basra. At least 20 fighters were killed, among them at least five Iranians, and 32 were wounded. Riyadh said the strikes were an answer to… Continue reading The End of Saudi Restraint in Iraq

learn more
September 9, 2026
Will AIPAC’s Declining Electoral Influence Shift U.S. Foreign Policy?

In the United States, electoral primaries—where political parties decide who will run in general elections for political office—are rarely referendums on the country’s foreign policy. Yet the 2026 Democratic Party primary cycle was different, as a growing number of congressional districts became battlegrounds for issues including the U.S.-Israel relationship, the genocide in Gaza, and foreign… Continue reading Will AIPAC’s Declining Electoral Influence Shift U.S. Foreign Policy?

learn more
September 8, 2026
Hili Forum 2026: Shaping the Post-War Gulf

The significance of the third Hili Forum—convening in Abu Dhabi on September 7-8 under the theme “Gulf at Crossroads: Conflict, Consequences and Course Correction”—stems from the exceptional timing of the event. The region remains mired in one of its most strategically ambiguous moments in decades, amid rapid transformations. The U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran remains unresolved—politically… Continue reading Hili Forum 2026: Shaping the Post-War Gulf

learn more