The Legal Mirage in the U.S. Strategy for Iranian Assets

Afkar

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Breaking the Cycle: A Historic Opportunity to Rebuild Syria-Lebanon Relations

Situation Assessment

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Gulf Digital Sovereignty in the Age of AI Warfare

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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June 24, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Libya: Trapped Between Internal Impasse and International Interference

On April 11, 2026, Libya’s two rival governments approved the country’s first unified national budget since 2013, valued at nearly 190 billion Libyan dinars (approximately $30 billion). The agreement, sponsored by the United States through its envoy and Presidential Advisor for Arab and African Affairs Massad Boulos, was primarily a pact between Ibrahim Dbeibah, nephew of Tripoli-based Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdul-Hamid Dbeibah, and Saddam Haftar, son and presumed successor of the head of the eastern-based Libyan Arab Armed Forces (LAAF), Khalifa Haftar. Ten countries, including… Continue reading Libya: Trapped Between Internal Impasse and International Interference

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June 18, 2026
Issue Brief -
Ten Years After the Paris Agreement: Outcomes, Implications, and Strategic Pathways for the Gulf

Key Takeaways Ten years after the Paris Agreement, climate diplomacy shifts from ambition-setting to delivery pressures: While successive COPs have expanded participation, transparency, and financing, the persistent gap between commitments and implementation has placed pressure on presenting measurable outcomes. COP30 marks a shift from norm-setting to implementation credibility: COP30 in Belém prioritized delivery of climate… Continue reading Ten Years After the Paris Agreement: Outcomes, Implications, and Strategic Pathways for the Gulf

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June 17, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The UAE’s Exit from OPEC: When Politics and Oil Mix 

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates announced it would end its 59-year membership in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) effective May 1, 2026. The UAE’s abrupt decision marks one of the most consequential shifts in global energy governance since Russia joined the OPEC+ coalition in 2016. While Emirati officials publicly framed the move as an economic decision designed to… Continue reading The UAE’s Exit from OPEC: When Politics and Oil Mix 

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June 18, 2026
Issue Brief -
Ten Years After the Paris Agreement: Outcomes, Implications, and Strategic Pathways for the Gulf

Key Takeaways Ten years after the Paris Agreement, climate diplomacy shifts from ambition-setting to delivery pressures: While successive COPs have expanded participation, transparency, and financing, the persistent gap between commitments and implementation has placed pressure on presenting measurable outcomes. COP30 marks a shift from norm-setting to implementation credibility: COP30 in Belém prioritized delivery of climate… Continue reading Ten Years After the Paris Agreement: Outcomes, Implications, and Strategic Pathways for the Gulf

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Events

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11 June 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
100 Days of the U.S.-Israel-Iran War: A Region in Turmoil
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15 June 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:15 pm GMT
After the War: Reorienting Gulf Economic Strategy
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11 June 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:30 pm GMT
World Cup 2026: The Politics of the Global Game
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11 June 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

100 Days of the U.S.-Israel-Iran War: A Region in Turmoil

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15 June 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:15 pm GMT

After the War: Reorienting Gulf Economic Strategy

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11 June 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:30 pm GMT

World Cup 2026: The Politics of the Global Game

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Afkar

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June 23, 2026
The U.S.-Iran Deal: Resolving the Crisis or Refinancing it?

The timing of the truce agreement between the U.S. and Iran reveals a shift in Washington’s approach to the crisis in the Gulf. The Trump administration, which initially presented its February escalation as a way to reshape the balance of power with Tehran, eventually found itself forced to contain the fire before it started to inflict deeper damage at the political, economic, and security levels. In this sense, the agreement is more of a way out of a predicament that the tools of hard power have failed to tackle, rather than the crowning of an American victory. … Continue reading The U.S.-Iran Deal: Resolving the Crisis or Refinancing it?

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June 22, 2026
Gulf Confederation: From Cooperation to a Shared Destiny

In the moments of calm that follow major crises, states are not measured solely by their capacity to endure, but by their ability to redefine their roles and revive deferred strategic projects before new crises engulf them. A ceasefire is not the end of a conflict; rather, it is a critical juncture for reassessment: what has been achieved, and… Continue reading Gulf Confederation: From Cooperation to a Shared Destiny

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June 21, 2026
Are UAE-Pakistan Relations Unraveling?  

Over roughly the past year, a perception has taken hold in the mainstream press and on social media that Pakistan’s relations with the United Arab Emirates are in decline. Driven primarily by the notion that the UAE’s relationship with Pakistan’s rival, India, is ascendant and that Pakistan has drifted closer to Saudi Arabia, the negative… Continue reading Are UAE-Pakistan Relations Unraveling?  

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June 23, 2026
The U.S.-Iran Deal: Resolving the Crisis or Refinancing it?

The timing of the truce agreement between the U.S. and Iran reveals a shift in Washington’s approach to the crisis in the Gulf. The Trump administration, which initially presented its February escalation as a way to reshape the balance of power with Tehran, eventually found itself forced to contain the fire before it started to inflict deeper damage at the political, economic, and security levels. In this sense, the agreement is more of a way out of a predicament that the tools of hard power have failed to tackle, rather than the crowning of an American victory. … Continue reading The U.S.-Iran Deal: Resolving the Crisis or Refinancing it?

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June 22, 2026
Gulf Confederation: From Cooperation to a Shared Destiny

In the moments of calm that follow major crises, states are not measured solely by their capacity to endure, but by their ability to redefine their roles and revive deferred strategic projects before new crises engulf them. A ceasefire is not the end of a conflict; rather, it is a critical juncture for reassessment: what has been achieved, and… Continue reading Gulf Confederation: From Cooperation to a Shared Destiny

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June 21, 2026
Are UAE-Pakistan Relations Unraveling?  

Over roughly the past year, a perception has taken hold in the mainstream press and on social media that Pakistan’s relations with the United Arab Emirates are in decline. Driven primarily by the notion that the UAE’s relationship with Pakistan’s rival, India, is ascendant and that Pakistan has drifted closer to Saudi Arabia, the negative… Continue reading Are UAE-Pakistan Relations Unraveling?  

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